Next Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, Tue, Oct 13 (Bulaid vs. Visconde)Results UFC Fight NightBrendan Allen def. Christian Leroy DuncanJai Herbert def. Matheus CamiloLoopy Godínez def. Ketlen SouzaAndre Fili def. Kai Kamaka IIIOtari Tanzilovi def. Malcolm WellmakerJulius Walker def. Gerald Meerschaert
Analysis

Khamzat Chimaev's Three-Belt Hype Runs Straight Into Sean Strickland

A UFC fighter who has watched Chimaev spar heavyweights says three titles are within reach, but the man who edged him for the middleweight belt now says he won't sign another contract until his pay gets sorted.

Khamzat Chimaev
Photo: Khamzat Chimaev: MMAnytt, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Sparring room stories are the most unfalsifiable currency in this sport. Nobody films the full round, nobody scores it, and the guy telling the story usually likes the guy he’s telling it about. So when a UFC fighter who has trained with Khamzat Chimaev says he’s watched him handle heavyweights and believes he can win titles in three divisions, my reaction is that I believe the first half and want receipts for the second.

Bloody Elbow posted on X that Chimaev has been backed to become a three-division champion by a UFC star who has seen him spar heavyweights. MMA Sucka framed the same conversation as a fighter and coach advising Chimaev on those three-belt ambitions. The wording in that second headline matters. You don’t usually “advise” someone on a plan you think is a lock. Advice implies the plan needs managing.

My argument is simple. Chimaev’s physical gifts were never the question. The question is whether a three-division project makes any sense for a fighter who, as of this month, doesn’t hold a belt in even one.

The Belt He Already Chased

The most recent hard data point on Chimaev at the elite level comes from the man currently wearing the middleweight strap. MMA Fighting reported that Sean Strickland is on a two-fight winning streak, finishing Anthony Hernandez and then edging Chimaev to regain the 185-pound title. MMA Fighting also lists Chimaev alongside Israel Adesanya, Nassourdine Imavov and Hernandez among Strickland’s wins.

So the “undefeated phenom” tag that keeps attaching itself to these stories is out of date. Chimaev has a loss, and it came in a title fight against the champion of the division you’d assume would be the anchor of any multi-belt run.

“Edged” is the key word there. A close loss is useful information. It tells you the gap between Chimaev and the top of middleweight is thin, which cuts both ways for the three-division pitch. It means he’s right there at 185. It also means he isn’t running through the division with room to spare, and room to spare is exactly what you’d want before talking about stacking more weight classes on top of it.

I love a fighter who makes real adjustments, and the honest version of the heavyweight-sparring compliment is that Chimaev’s wrestling and pressure travel well up the scale. Fine. But sparring a big man in a gym where everyone knows the session ends on a bell is a very different problem from making a fight-week cut, rehydrating, and then dealing with a champion who has already solved you once over the long haul of a title fight.

The Champion Isn’t Even Available

Here’s where the hype runs into the calendar. Strickland has spent the past week at war with the UFC over money. On October 9, he wrote on X: “I will not fight or sign any contract until I get this figured out.” Two days earlier, he posted that he was contemplating moving to 205, finishing out his contract and fighting Jake Paul.

Championship Rounds, citing Mike Bohn, reported that Strickland signed a new six-fight UFC deal before facing Chimaev and earned over $1 million for that fight, while knocking down rumors of a $400K/$400K contract as false. Strickland said in a clip that the UFC told him, “Sign this or we don’t do this.”

MMA Fighting reported that rematches with Chimaev and Imavov have been rumored, and that Strickland was in negotiations for an Imavov title defense before the pay dispute boiled over. Treat the Chimaev rematch as exactly that, a rumor.

Put those together and the middleweight path, the most logical first stop for any Chimaev title run, currently goes through a champion who says he won’t sign anything, who may vacate up a division, and who already has a contender lined up in Imavov. Chimaev can’t win three belts while he’s waiting in line for one.

What He Should Actually Do

The smart version of Chimaev’s career is boring, which is probably why nobody’s selling it. Get the middleweight belt, defend it, and let the rest of the conversation follow. A three-division conversation becomes interesting the day he has one division handled. Until then it’s gym talk.

The only other public Chimaev item this week came from Championship Rounds, which posted that he linked up with Charles Oliveira in Chechnya. I’m not reading anything into that beyond two elite grapplers in the same room, which, as a leg lock enjoyer, I’d pay to watch.

My pick is that Chimaev does not fight for a title outside middleweight before he’s won the middleweight belt, and the next real update on all of this comes from Strickland’s phone, not from anyone’s sparring stories.

Keep reading