Jai Herbert closed as the underdog and left the Meta APEX with his hand raised. The British lightweight beat Matheus Camilo by unanimous decision in the co-main event of UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday night in Las Vegas, with all three judges turning in identical 29-28 cards, per the official result posted by UFC News on X and confirmed by MMA Junkie.
Three matching one-point margins tell you this fight was close. Whoever won the swing round won the fight, and all three judges went with the Englishman.
The market didn’t see it coming. FanDuel had Camilo at -194 and Herbert at +158 heading in, which works out to roughly a 66 percent implied win probability for the Brazilian. MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom, who entered the weekend at 109-68-1 on 2026 main cards, also went with Camilo and called for a club-and-sub in Round 2. His reasoning was that Herbert’s durability had become a growing concern as he ages. Herbert went 15 minutes and never gave the judges a reason to doubt him on that front.
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The result matters most for what it does to Herbert’s UFC résumé. He came in at 14-6-1 overall and 4-5-1 inside the Octagon, and Tom pointed out in his preview that Herbert had never strung together consecutive wins in the promotion. That changes now. He arrived off a first-round finish of Mandel Nallo in April, and this decision gives him his first win streak under the UFC banner, pushing him to 15-6-1 overall and 5-5-1 in the company. After years of trading wins and losses, he has finally pulled his UFC record back to even.
Camilo falls to 11-4 overall and 2-2 in the UFC. The Brazilian dropped his promotional debut to Gabe Green, then rebounded with wins over Viacheslav Borschev and Nazim Sadykhov, the most recent a first-round finish in June. He’d also recently picked up his Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt from Andre Pederneiras, which is a big reason Tom expected him to take this fight to the mat. UFC Brasil had him warming up and hyped for the walkout around 9:40 p.m. ET, with the fight airing on CBS and streaming on Paramount+. His two-fight run is over, and he goes back to the drawing board at 155 pounds.
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Neither camp has announced a next opponent as of Sunday morning.
I’ll say it plainly: a -194 price on a guy with three UFC fights and one signature finish was a narrative number. The story of the younger fighter with a fresh black belt beating the aging vet reads great in a preview, and you can’t cash a storyline at the window. Herbert was being priced on his reputation for coming and going, when what actually mattered was that he’s competent everywhere and very hard to put away for three rounds in a fight that was always going to be close. A +158 on a seasoned lightweight in a likely coin-flip is the kind of live dog I’ll take every time, and I’d love to tell you I had a ticket. I had Camilo in a two-leg parlay, which is the most humbling way to lose money that exists. Herbert’s camp should be asking for a ranked name next, because a fighter who has finally won two in a row is worth more on a fight poster than one still trading wins and losses.
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